Friday, 26 April 2013

Analisa Peramalan Kemasukan Pelajar Tingkatan Satu Ke Sekolah Menengah Di Seluruh Negeri Selangor


Abstract

          Forecasting is the art and science of predicting future events.It may involve taking historical data and projecting them into the future with some sort of mathematical model.Thus,Jabatan Pendidikan Negeri Selangor(JPNS)is chosen to forecast the number of form one students in Selangor. The objective of the project is to help JPNS in planning the needs of teaching and studying process for the students. Besides,it is also to forecast the district possessing the highest number of form one students. To realize the project success,the statistic data for the past 25 years from 1980 until 2004 are used.Simple regression analysis and Box-Jenkins methods are used in this project. Whilst, the software to be applied is Statistica version 6.0. The result obtained from this project enable JPNS to conduct early planning in taking the best action to provide facilities properly.

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